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Caleb Wilson rookie odds diverge as Cameron Boozer leads pricing

WinDailySports' Kalshi against Polymarket comparison, which refreshes about every 40 minutes, lists the 6.4-point gap on Wilson as the biggest price gap right now, ahead of the Joe Burrow NFL MVP gap. Cameron Boozer leads the rookie market itself at 35 cents on Polymarket and 33 cents on Kalshi.

Caleb Wilson has the largest cross-venue price difference in WinDailySports’ comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket, with his NBA Rookie of the Year contract priced at 7.1 cents on Polymarket and 14 cents on Kalshi.

The snapshot, published Nov 4, 2026, at 3:15 PM ET, places Wilson’s gap ahead of the difference for Joe Burrow in the NFL MVP market, according to WinDailySports. The comparison refreshes about every 40 minutes.

Market leader and reported gap

Cameron Boozer leads the NBA Rookie of the Year market itself, according to WinDailySports, trading at 35 cents on Polymarket and 33 cents on Kalshi. His quoted prices are closer together than Wilson’s, with Polymarket pricing Boozer higher while Kalshi prices Wilson higher.

WinDailySports lists Wilson’s difference as 6.4 points. However, the supplied prices of 7.1 cents and 14 cents imply a 6.9-cent spread. The provided material does not explain that discrepancy.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Wilson’s quoted prices show a larger venue disagreement than Boozer’s, but that does not make Wilson the market favorite: Boozer leads on both platforms.
  • The reported 6.4-point gap does not match the supplied contract prices, a distinction that matters when comparing the size of cross-venue differences.
  • With updates about every 40 minutes, the comparison is a periodic snapshot rather than a continuously refreshed view.
KalshiPolymarketNFLInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    WinDailySports
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