Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Vance tops Republican nomination pricing as Kalshi tracks 46 outcomes

DeFi Rate lists the 2028 Republican presidential nominee market 15th overall by 24 hour volume, with J.D. Vance at 31 cents on Kalshi ahead of Marco Rubio at 22 cents and Ron DeSantis at 18 cents. The market prices 46 outcomes.

J.D. Vance leads pricing in the 2028 Republican presidential nominee market on Kalshi at 31 cents, according to DeFi Rate. The market recorded 957,000 dollars in volume over 24 hours.

Prices and trading activity

Marco Rubio follows at 22 cents, while Ron DeSantis stands at 18 cents, according to DeFi Rate. Vance’s price puts him ahead of both, but below the halfway mark on the market’s probability scale.

DeFi Rate ranks the market 15th overall by 24-hour volume. That ranking measures trading activity rather than the strength of any candidate’s position.

A broad nomination field

The market prices 46 outcomes. The supplied summary identifies prices for Vance, Rubio and DeSantis, but does not detail the remaining outcomes or how trading volume is distributed among them.

The figures accompany an update published Nov 4, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET. They provide a pricing snapshot, without earlier observations that would establish whether any of the three candidates is gaining or losing ground.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Vance leads the reported pricing at 31 cents; that is a relative lead, not a market-implied majority probability.
  • The 957,000 dollars in 24-hour volume and 15th-overall ranking show activity at the market level, not candidate-specific demand.
  • With 46 outcomes priced and only three prices supplied, the summary offers a limited view of the broader nomination contest.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related