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Mississippi Senate contracts lead trading as Colom prices approach certainty

DeFi Rate, observing prices between 5:42 PM and 7:22 PM ET on November 4, ranks the Mississippi Senate winner market first across Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and Gemini. Colom rose 86 points in seven days from 12 percent to 97 percent, with Cindy Hyde-Smith at 2.8 cents on Kalshi and Colom at 98.3 cents on Polymarket.

Mississippi’s Senate winner market generated 10.5 million dollars in trading over 24 hours, making it the most traded prediction market in DeFi Rate’s ranking. Scott Colom was priced at 97.3 cents on Kalshi, according to the outlet.

Volume leads across four platforms

DeFi Rate’s ranking covered Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and Gemini. Its price observations ran from 5:42 PM to 7:22 PM ET on November 4.

The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET. The figures therefore represent an observation window rather than a single simultaneous snapshot across platforms.

Colom’s contracts reflect a sharp shift

According to DeFi Rate, Colom rose 86 points over seven days, moving from 12 percent to 97 percent. Those reported endpoints and the stated point increase do not align arithmetically.

Cindy Hyde-Smith was priced at 2.8 cents on Kalshi, while Colom traded at 98.3 cents on Polymarket. Colom’s Polymarket price was thus 1 cent higher than his Kalshi price in the reported observations.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Concentrated activity: The 10.5 million dollars in 24-hour trading put the Mississippi Senate winner market first in DeFi Rate’s cross-platform ranking.
  • Strong directional pricing: Colom’s prices on Kalshi and Polymarket reflected overwhelming market confidence, not confirmation of an election result.
  • Comparison limits: The observation window matters when assessing the 1-cent difference between platforms, while the inconsistent seven-day change warrants caution when describing the precise size of the move.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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