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Miami title contracts show largest tracked gap across prediction venues

Rivo reports the widest cross-venue gaps it tracks early on November 3 also include Ohio State at 4 cents on Polymarket US against 16 cents on Gemini, and a Bitcoin end-of-2026 range priced 10.9 points apart between Polymarket US and Kalshi.

Miami Hurricanes college football title contracts traded at 14 cents on Polymarket US and 28 cents on Gemini early on November 3, according to Rivo. The 14-point difference was the widest cross-venue gap in its tracking.

The report, published Nov 3, 2026, at 3:45 AM ET, also highlighted differences in Ohio State title pricing and a Bitcoin end-of-2026 range contract.

College football pricing diverges

Ohio State was priced at 4 cents on Polymarket US versus 16 cents on Gemini, according to Rivo. That put the difference between those venues at 12 points.

For both college football teams, Gemini’s quoted price was higher than Polymarket US’s. The supplied summary does not include contract terms, trading volumes or available order sizes.

Bitcoin range also shows a gap

Rivo also identified a 10.9-point difference between Polymarket US and Kalshi for a Bitcoin end-of-2026 range contract.

The summary does not specify the Bitcoin range, either venue’s individual price or which platform priced the contract higher. That limits the comparison to the reported size of the gap.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Miami’s 14-point difference exceeded Ohio State’s 12-point spread and the Bitcoin contract’s 10.9-point gap among the highlighted comparisons.
  • The football quotes show venue-level differences, but the summary alone does not establish whether the contracts have identical settlement terms.
  • These are early-November 3 observations, not evidence that the gaps persisted. Without order sizes or fuller contract details, they do not establish an executable cross-venue opportunity.
KalshiPolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Rivo
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