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Andersson’s Polymarket lead narrows as Kristersson gains ground in Sweden

RG reports Andersson led Ulf Kristersson 73 percent to 27 percent a day earlier, and Kristersson is now at 43 percent after the Sweden Democrats said they would not stand in his way. Kristersson is due to report to the speaker on Tuesday, November 10.

Magdalena Andersson’s probability of becoming Sweden’s next prime minister has fallen to 47 percent on Polymarket, according to RG. The market has recorded 11.4 million dollars in trading.

Ulf Kristersson now stands at 43 percent, leaving a four-percentage-point gap between the two contenders. RG’s update was published on Nov 7, 2026, at 11:30 AM ET.

A sharp change ahead of Tuesday’s report

A day earlier, Andersson led Kristersson by 73 percent to 27 percent, according to RG. The latest figures represent a 26-percentage-point decline for Andersson and a 16-percentage-point increase for Kristersson.

The shift follows the Sweden Democrats’ statement that they would not stand in Kristersson’s way, RG reported. Kristersson is due to report to the speaker on Tuesday, November 10.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The lead has narrowed substantially: Andersson remains ahead, but the gap has contracted from 46 percentage points to four in a day.
  • Political positioning is a key development: The Sweden Democrats’ statement coincides with the repricing, though the supplied reporting does not establish how much of the move it explains.
  • November 10 is the next scheduled checkpoint: Kristersson’s report to the speaker is a concrete event to watch; it should not be treated as a confirmed appointment or market-resolution date.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    RGrg.org
    Publisher
    https://rg.org
    Source URL
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