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Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance market draws $7.6 million in trading

World Monitor includes the contract among the 15 most traded markets on its live board of 50 tracked Polymarket and Kalshi markets. The market closes on January 1, 2027.

A Polymarket contract on whether Mojtaba Khamenei will be seen in public by December 31 is priced at 12.5 percent, according to World Monitor. The contract has recorded $7.6 million in trading.

Position on the live board

World Monitor includes the contract among the 15 most traded markets on its live board. That board tracks 50 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

The figures were reported on Nov 7, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. They represent the reported snapshot, rather than a record of how the contract’s price or trading volume has changed.

Deadline and market close

The contract’s stated event deadline is December 31, while the market closes on January 1, 2027, according to World Monitor. The supplied summary does not specify the evidence required to establish a qualifying public appearance.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 12.5 percent price places the public-appearance outcome at a low market-implied probability, not a certainty.
  • The $7.6 million trading total and top-15 placement indicate trading activity within World Monitor’s tracked board, not a ranking across all prediction markets.
  • The event deadline and market closing date are distinct. Without the contract’s full resolution terms, the supplied information does not establish how an appearance would be verified.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    World Monitor
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