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Liverpool goals contract climbs to 32 percent during Arsenal game

The Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC submarket rose from 17 percent an hour earlier to 32 percent, according to ChainCatcher data cited in the report. The move came during Sunday's Premier League match at Anfield.

A Polymarket contract tied to Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC climbed to 32 percent during Sunday’s Premier League match at Anfield, according to Binance, citing ChainCatcher data.

The submarket concerned Liverpool second-half over 1.5 goals. Its reading had been 17 percent an hour earlier, putting the increase at 15 percentage points.

A sharp move during play

The report was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 11:30 AM ET. The figures describe an in-match repricing rather than a comparison between pre-match and final market levels.

The supplied summary does not identify a match event behind the increase or provide trading volume, liquidity or a subsequent price. It therefore establishes the size and timing of the move, but not its cause or durability.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The contract’s implied probability rose from 17 percent to 32 percent over an hour, a 15-percentage-point shift toward the specified goals outcome.
  • This was a second-half goals submarket, not a market on whether Liverpool would beat Arsenal.
  • Without volume, liquidity or later readings, the reported jump alone cannot establish how broadly supported or persistent the repricing was.
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Sources & attribution

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    Binance
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