Lisbon: Dalma Galfi vs. Matilde Jorge draws $284K in 24 hours, with the Yes outcome above 99%

The Polymarket contract for Lisbon’s Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge matchup ranked 32nd by 24-hour trading volume, according to polydict.app’s Oct 15, 03:26 PM UTC snapshot. The listing showed $285K in turnover and a displayed probability of 99% for “Yes.”

The supplied headline reported $284K and a Yes probability above 99%, while the summary placed the contract 32nd at Oct. 15, 2:23 PM UTC. The later board therefore shows a slightly higher volume figure, but its displayed 99% does not establish a probability above that level.

Where Lisbon sits on the board

At the later snapshot, Lisbon stood immediately below the Bitcoin threshold market for October 16, which recorded $291K in 24-hour volume. It was immediately above the NBA: 2027 Champion market, at $284K, according to polydict.app.

Another tennis listing, Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen, ranked 18th with $538K in turnover and a displayed 99% probability for Ann Li. Unlike that listing, the Lisbon entry identified its outcome only as Yes, without explaining which player or proposition that label represented.

Settlement details remain important

Polydict.app listed Oct 21, 2026 as the Lisbon contract’s end date. The supplied board did not include the contract’s full question, resolution criteria or match result, so the Yes price alone cannot be read as confirmation that either Dalma Galfi or Matilde Jorge won.

According to polydict.app, the markets shown use Polymarket’s order book and settle under its contracts. Shares trade between $0 and $1, with a correct outcome paying $1 and an incorrect outcome paying nothing; resolution depends on the applicable rules and designated source.

What it means for prediction markets

• Volume and probability convey different information. Lisbon’s $285K turnover establishes its activity ranking in the later snapshot, not the reason traders favored Yes.
• The outcome label is incomplete context. Without the underlying contract question, the displayed 99% cannot reliably be assigned to either player.
• Snapshot timing matters. The headline’s $284K and above-99% description should be distinguished from the later board’s $285K and displayed 99%.
• A high price is not settlement. The supplied listing gives an end date of Oct 21, 2026, but does not establish a final result or resolution status.