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Raiders upset Jets as prediction markets trade $8.5 million on game

DeFi Rate's final recap shows Las Vegas won 38 to 33 after Kalshi priced the Raiders at 46 percent and the Jets at 55 percent at kickoff, with Polymarket US at 46 and 54 percent. A total of 8.5 million dollars traded across every tracked market on the game in 270,783 trades, including 4.9 million dollars on Kalshi, and the 71 combined points finished over the 46.5 total.

Las Vegas defeated the New York Jets 38 to 33 despite entering as the underdog in prediction-market pricing, according to DeFi Rate’s final recap, published Nov 1, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET.

Kickoff pricing favored New York

Kalshi priced the Raiders at 46 percent and the Jets at 55 percent at kickoff. Polymarket US put Las Vegas at 46 percent and New York at 54 percent, according to DeFi Rate.

Both venues therefore favored the Jets, though their prices for New York differed by one percentage point. The Raiders’ victory delivered the outcome assigned the lower probability on each platform.

Trading volume and scoring

Across every tracked market on the game, trading totaled $8.5 million through 270,783 trades. Kalshi accounted for $4.9 million of that volume, according to DeFi Rate.

The teams scored 71 combined points, finishing over the 46.5 total. The result paired a Raiders upset with scoring above that threshold.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The favorite did not win: Both venues leaned toward the Jets at kickoff, but neither priced a New York victory as certain.
  • Volume covered multiple markets: The $8.5 million figure spans every tracked market on the game, rather than only contracts on the winner.
  • Winner and total were separate outcomes: Las Vegas won as the lower-priced team, while the combined score exceeded the 46.5 total.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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