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Kalshi inflation contract slips as November threshold draws lower pricing

The same PredictionMarketPicks board's economics section prices the contract on CPI inflation being above 3.7% for the year ending in November 2026 at 65c, down 6c, on…

Kalshi’s contract on CPI inflation exceeding 3.7% for the year ending in November 2026 was priced at 65c, according to the economics section of the PredictionMarketPicks board.

The contract was down 6c in the snapshot published Nov 4, 2026, at 8:24 PM ET. That marks a decline in pricing for inflation finishing above the specified threshold.

A narrow view of inflation expectations

The contract concerns a particular outcome: annual CPI inflation above 3.7% for the year ending in November 2026. Its price should not be read as a forecast of the exact inflation rate.

The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the decline or provide prices for other inflation thresholds. It therefore offers only a limited view of the broader market’s inflation expectations.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 65c price and 6c decline indicate softer pricing for the above-3.7% outcome, not a change in the contract’s threshold.
  • Without comparable contracts or additional context, the move does not establish how expectations shifted across the full range of possible November inflation readings.
PredictionMarketsKalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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