Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Pappas projection puts Democrats on course to retain New Hampshire seat

Kalshi News reports Kalshi projects Democrat Chris Pappas will defeat Republican John E. Sununu in the open New Hampshire Senate race, holding Jeanne Shaheen's seat for Democrats. Traders priced Pappas at 99 percent at the projection, up from 97 percent when polls closed and 94 percent on November 2.

Kalshi projects Democrat Chris Pappas will defeat Republican John E. Sununu in New Hampshire’s open Senate race, according to Kalshi News. The projected outcome would keep Jeanne Shaheen’s seat in Democratic hands.

Pricing strengthens into the projection

Kalshi News reported the projection on Nov 3, 2026, at 11:45 PM ET. Traders priced Pappas at 99 percent at the time of the projection, compared with 97 percent when polls closed.

That followed a reading of 94 percent on November 2. The reported figures show an increase of five percentage points from November 2 to the projection, including two percentage points after polls closed.

A projected Democratic hold

The contest pits Pappas against Sununu for the open seat. Kalshi’s projection points to a Democratic hold rather than a change in party control of the seat; the supplied reporting does not provide an official result or vote totals.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pappas was already priced as the strong favorite at 94 percent on November 2, with the subsequent readings indicating greater trader confidence.
  • The move from 97 percent at poll closing to 99 percent at the projection narrowed the remaining market-implied uncertainty.
  • Kalshi’s projection and traders’ pricing are distinct from an official election result, which was not included in the supplied reporting.
KalshiSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshi Newsnews.kalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://news.kalshi.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi News”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related