Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Kalshi’s November Bitcoin thresholds show declining odds at higher prices

PredictionBubbles listed a new Kalshi series on Bitcoin's trimmed mean price at 11:59 p.m. Eastern on November 30, created about 10 hours ago. The above 82,500 dollar contract is priced at 56 percent, above 90,000 dollars at 25 percent and above 92,500 dollars at 11 percent.

Kalshi has a new series of markets tied to Bitcoin’s trimmed mean price at 11:59 p.m. Eastern on November 30, according to PredictionBubbles.

The report, published Nov 1, 2026, at 10:15 AM ET, described the series as having been created about 10 hours earlier.

Three thresholds frame the pricing

The contract for a trimmed mean price above $82,500 is priced at 56 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. That puts the lowest of the three reported thresholds above the halfway mark.

The above-$90,000 contract is priced at 25 percent, while the above-$92,500 contract stands at 11 percent. The reported prices therefore fall as the required Bitcoin price rises.

What it means for prediction markets

  • These contracts concern Bitcoin’s trimmed mean price at a specified time, rather than whether Bitcoin touches a threshold before November 30.
  • The reported pricing separates the above-$82,500 outcome from the two higher thresholds: 56 percent versus 25 percent and 11 percent.
  • The supplied summary does not explain the trimmed mean calculation or provide further settlement details, limiting interpretation of the precise price measure.
KalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PredictionBubbles”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related