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Josh Allen tops Kalshi MVP pricing as trading reaches $40.7 million

DOXA lists the MVP winner market among the most liquid sports prediction markets in its latest snapshot. The market is listed on Kalshi, with Josh Allen priced ahead of every other candidate.

Josh Allen leads the MVP winner market on Kalshi at 27 percent, according to DOXA. Its latest snapshot places him ahead of every other candidate.

The update, published Nov 6, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, puts the market’s traded volume at $40.7 million.

A leading price, not a majority

Allen’s position makes him the market’s front-runner in the supplied snapshot. His 27 percent price nevertheless falls well short of a majority probability, leaving considerable uncertainty about the eventual winner.

DOXA also ranks the contract among the most liquid sports prediction markets in its latest snapshot. The supplied material does not include other candidates’ prices, so it does not establish how far Allen leads his nearest rival.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Leadership is not certainty: Allen has the highest listed price, but 27 percent does not imply an overwhelming favorite.
  • Activity provides context: The $40.7 million traded figure and DOXA’s liquidity assessment highlight the market’s prominence, rather than establish the accuracy of its pricing.
  • The snapshot has limits: Without rival prices or earlier observations, readers cannot assess the size of Allen’s advantage or whether his position has strengthened.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    DOXA
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