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Alaska governor markets place Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins near certain victory

DeFi Rate averages the venues at 99 percent for Kreiss-Tomkins, with Polymarket US at 98 cents and Gemini at 98 cents. Trading on the race closes November 10, 2026.

According to DeFi Rate, prediction markets put Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at 99 percent to win the Alaska governorship. That figure represents DeFi Rate’s average across venues.

The update, published Nov 7, 2026 · 3:15 PM ET, lists Kalshi at 99.5 cents and Polymarket at 99.6 cents.

Venue prices and closing date

Polymarket US and Gemini each stand at 98 cents, according to DeFi Rate. Both are below the prices listed for Kalshi and Polymarket, though all four venues strongly favor Kreiss-Tomkins.

Trading on the race closes November 10, 2026. The supplied summary provides prices and that closing date, but does not establish an official election result.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Strong agreement: DeFi Rate’s 99 percent average indicates that the venues overwhelmingly price a Kreiss-Tomkins victory.
  • Small pricing differences: Listed prices range from 98 cents on Polymarket US and Gemini to 99.6 cents on Polymarket.
  • Price is not confirmation: These figures reflect market expectations; the November 10, 2026 trading close should not be confused with confirmation of the outcome.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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