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Kalshi’s 2032 GDP growth band drops sharply in quoted price

BotForKalshi lists the contract among the biggest quote-to-quote moves on Kalshi, down from a previous quote of 21.5 cents, with an 11 cent spread.

A Kalshi contract tied to US real GDP growth in 2032 between 2.1 and 2.5 percent fell 14 cents to 7.5 cents, according to BotForKalshi.

The update, published Nov 7, 2026 · 4:30 PM ET, placed the contract among Kalshi’s biggest quote-to-quote moves.

Quote change and spread

The previous quote was 21.5 cents, according to BotForKalshi. The reported move therefore concerns a change between quotes, rather than an identified transaction.

BotForKalshi also listed an 11 cent spread. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the decline or provide further trading details.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The lower quote marks a downward repricing of the specific 2.1–2.5 percent growth band, not necessarily a shift toward weaker growth overall.
  • The 11 cent spread is material relative to the 7.5 cent quote, limiting how precisely that quote can be read as a market probability.
  • Without quotes for other growth bands, the update does not show where expectations for US real GDP growth in 2032 may have shifted.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    BotForKalshi
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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