Alaska governor markets heavily favor Kreiss-Tomkins as November 10 close approaches
DeFi Rate averages Kreiss-Tomkins at 98 percent across venues, with Kalshi at 99.5 cents and Polymarket at 99.6 cents, up 12 points on Kalshi this week. The market has traded 5,000 dollars in 24 hours and closes on November 10.
Prediction markets put Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins well ahead of David Bronson in the Alaska governorship contest, according to DeFi Rate. Its average across venues assigns Kreiss-Tomkins a 98 percent probability of winning, compared with 1.5 percent for Bronson.
Prices rise toward the top of the range
DeFi Rate’s update, published Nov 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, lists Kreiss-Tomkins at 99.5 cents on Kalshi and 99.6 cents on Polymarket. Both venue prices sit above the reported cross-venue average.
On Kalshi, Kreiss-Tomkins has gained 12 points this week, according to DeFi Rate. The summary does not identify what drove that move.
Trading volume and closing date
The market recorded 5,000 dollars in trading over 24 hours and is scheduled to close on November 10. The provided summary does not specify how that volume is distributed across venues.
The figures reflect market pricing, not a confirmed election outcome. The summary also does not provide vote totals or settlement criteria.
What it means for prediction markets
- Strongly concentrated expectations: The 98 percent average places Kreiss-Tomkins far ahead of Bronson’s 1.5 percent, while leaving some uncertainty in the pricing.
- Venue figures need context: Kalshi’s 99.5-cent and Polymarket’s 99.6-cent prices exceed the reported average; the summary does not explain the averaging method.
- Limited detail on activity: The 5,000 dollars traded in 24 hours provides a measure of turnover, but not order-book depth.
- Closing is not confirmation: November 10 is the stated market close, not evidence in itself that the election result has been established.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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