Vance nomination contracts draw heavy trading as rival prices trail
Polymarket prices Vance at 36.6 cents, with Marco Rubio at 21 cents and Ron DeSantis at 18 cents on the Kalshi board. DeFi Rate ranks the market second among all prediction markets by 24-hour volume and lists it as surging at 2.5 times its daily average pace.
J.D. Vance’s contract for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination stood at 34 cents on Kalshi, with 1.5 million dollars traded over 24 hours, according to DeFi Rate. The figures were reported on Nov 7, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET.
Prices across platforms
Polymarket priced Vance at 36.6 cents, according to DeFi Rate—a higher level than the Kalshi contract for the same nomination outcome.
On Kalshi, Marco Rubio was priced at 21 cents and Ron DeSantis at 18 cents. Both were below Vance among the candidates identified in the report; the supplied figures do not establish the standings of the full field.
Trading activity accelerates
DeFi Rate placed the nomination market second among all prediction markets by 24-hour trading volume. It also classified activity as surging, running at 2.5 times the market’s daily average pace.
That combination points to elevated trading interest, but the supplied snapshot does not show whether Vance’s price rose or fell during the period. Volume alone does not establish a shift in traders’ expectations.
What it means for prediction markets
- Cross-platform pricing differs: Vance’s 34-cent Kalshi price was below his 36.6-cent Polymarket price, making the venue relevant when describing market expectations.
- The named rivals trail: Rubio at 21 cents and DeSantis at 18 cents were priced below Vance on Kalshi, though the report does not provide a complete candidate board.
- Activity is not direction: The 1.5 million dollars in 24-hour volume and pace of 2.5 times the daily average show heightened participation, not necessarily strengthening support for any candidate.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Nottingham Forest is priced at 97.9 cents on Polymarket against Manchester City, leading the top-50 board at 6.3 million dollars in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports
- Florida State is priced at 52 cents on Kalshi and 76 cents on Polymarket against Boston College, with 1.1 million dollars traded in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports
- Contract on a US strike on Cuba by December 31 is priced at 10.5 percent on Polymarket, with 7.7 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Contract on Mojtaba Khamenei being seen in public by December 31 is priced at 12.5 percent on Polymarket, with 7.6 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Contract on Variational FDV above 500 million dollars one day after launch is priced at 86.5 percent on Polymarket, with 3.9 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Cleveland wins is priced at 36 cents on Kalshi, down 7 cents, on 57K contracts traded in 24 hours