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Vance leads Republican nomination pricing as trading reaches $1.1 million

DeFi Rate lists the 50-outcome nominee market among the ten most traded markets on November 7. Marco Rubio is next at 21 cents, followed by Ron DeSantis at 18 cents.

J.D. Vance is priced at 34 cents on Kalshi and 36.6 cents on Polymarket to become the 2028 Republican presidential nominee, according to DeFi Rate. The figures put him ahead of the other contenders identified in the summary.

Nomination market draws trading activity

DeFi Rate places the 50-outcome nominee market among the ten most traded markets on November 7. Reported trading volume over 24 hours reached 1.1 million dollars.

Marco Rubio follows Vance at 21 cents, with Ron DeSantis next at 18 cents. The supplied summary does not specify which platform those two prices refer to.

The report, published Nov 7, 2026, at 2:15 PM ET, provides a pricing snapshot rather than a record of movement. It does not establish whether any candidate’s price or the market’s trading volume had risen or fallen.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A lead, not a majority-priced outcome: Vance’s prices are the highest among the candidates identified, but both remain below 50 cents.
  • A platform gap: His Polymarket price exceeds his Kalshi price by 2.6 cents. The summary does not provide contract terms or timing details to explain the difference.
  • Activity is not direction: The reported 24-hour volume and top-ten trading rank indicate attention to the nomination market, not whether traders are increasingly favoring Vance.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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