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Philadelphia at Washington pick highlights model gap with Kalshi pricing

IPredictSport says its live NFL board, built at 4:36 PM ET on November 1, 2026, lists Philadelphia at Washington on Sunday night, November 1 at 8:20 PM ET, as a pick, with its win probability at 42 percent against a Kalshi ask of 30 cents. It puts the gap after fees at plus 11.0 points.

According to iPredictSport, its live NFL board identifies Philadelphia at Washington as a pick for Sunday night, November 1 at 8:20 PM ET. The board assigns a 42 percent win probability, compared with a Kalshi ask of 30 cents.

Model estimate and market price

iPredictSport puts the difference after fees at plus 11.0 points. That figure reflects its comparison of the model estimate with the quoted market price, rather than a confirmed outcome.

The supplied summary does not identify which side of Philadelphia at Washington the pick represents. The probability and ask therefore cannot be attributed to either team from the available material.

Timing of the snapshot

According to iPredictSport, the board was built at 4:36 PM ET on November 1, 2026. The supplied headline identifies an update at 4:38 PM ET on November 1, while the publication timestamp is Nov 1, 2026 · 5:45 PM ET.

Those timestamps distinguish the board’s construction and update from publication. The supplied material contains no subsequent price or model estimate.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The reported comparison is a 42 percent model probability against a 30-cent Kalshi ask, with iPredictSport calculating a plus 11.0-point gap after fees.
  • The unspecified side limits interpretation: the available summary does not establish which team or contract the pick concerns.
  • The figures describe a pregame snapshot for the November 1, 8:20 PM ET matchup, not a verified later quote or game result.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    iPredictSport
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to iPredictSport”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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