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Polymarket puts Indiana data center restrictions at an 18 percent chance

World Monitor reports its live November 4 reading, taken at 6:40 a.m. ET, prices Indiana enacting a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027 at 18 percent on Polymarket, with 6.4 million dollars traded on the market.

According to World Monitor, Polymarket priced the prospect of Indiana enacting a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027 at 18 percent in its November 4, 2026 live reading.

Price and trading activity

The snapshot was taken at 6:40 a.m. ET. World Monitor’s report was published on Nov 4, 2026 at 6:45 AM ET, five minutes after that observation.

World Monitor reported 6.4 million dollars traded on the market. That figure describes trading activity, while the 18 percent reading reflects the market’s pricing of the specified outcome at the observation time.

What the snapshot establishes

The supplied summary provides a single price observation, not a history of how expectations have changed. It includes no information about proposed legislation, state officials’ positions or the market’s detailed resolution criteria.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The outcome was priced below even odds: The 18 percent reading placed enactment of a moratorium by December 31, 2027 as the less likely outcome.
  • Timing defines the contract: The question concerns enactment by the stated deadline, rather than whether Indiana might consider restrictions.
  • Volume is not confirmation: The reported 6.4 million dollars traded does not itself establish that a moratorium is advancing or that the price has moved in either direction.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    World Monitor
    Publisher
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    Source URL
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