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Pritzker commands overwhelming Kalshi odds in Illinois governor contest

Kalshi reports its Illinois governor market prices Democrat JB Pritzker at 97.2 percent against Republican Darren Bailey at 2.8 percent, with 707,194 dollars traded. The polling average puts Pritzker at 54.0 percent against 34.0 percent for Bailey in his bid for re-election.

Market pricing favors Pritzker

Democrat JB Pritzker was priced at 97.2 percent in Kalshi’s Illinois governor market, compared with 2.8 percent for Republican Darren Bailey, according to Kalshi. The figures were published Nov 3, 2026, at 12:45 PM ET.

The market had recorded 707,194 dollars traded, according to Kalshi. That trading total accompanies a sharply uneven assessment of the two candidates’ chances.

Polling also shows a substantial lead

The polling average cited in the supplied summary puts Pritzker at 54.0 percent and Bailey at 34.0 percent. Pritzker is seeking re-election.

Both measures favor Pritzker, but they describe different things: polling measures voter support, while market prices express the assessed likelihood of an outcome. His 97.2 percent market price should not be read as a projected vote share.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Kalshi’s pricing makes Pritzker the overwhelming favorite, but does not imply a certain result.
  • The polling average points in the same direction as the market without directly validating its precise probability.
  • The 707,194 dollars traded provides activity context; the supplied material does not show price history or how readily traders could transact at the displayed prices.
KalshiElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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