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Gold’s $6,000 December threshold leads reported volume among listed contracts

PredictMarketCap lists the market on gold hitting 6,000 dollars by December 2026 at 1.48 million dollars in total volume, ahead of the 5,000 dollar market at 283,200 dollars with 23,900 dollars traded in 24 hours. The same metals board puts the Kalshi gold price year-end market at 345,200 dollars in volume.

According to PredictMarketCap, the market on gold reaching $6,000 by December 2026 has recorded $1.48 million in total trading volume across prediction venues.

The figures, published Nov 1, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, place that contract ahead of the $5,000 gold market by cumulative volume.

Trading activity across gold markets

PredictMarketCap lists total volume for the $5,000 market at $283,200, with $23,900 traded over 24 hours. The supplied figures do not include a comparable 24-hour total for the $6,000 market.

On the same metals board, the Kalshi gold price year-end market has $345,200 in volume, according to PredictMarketCap. That puts its reported turnover above the $5,000 market but below the $6,000 contract.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The $6,000 contract has the highest reported cumulative volume among these three markets. Volume alone does not establish the probability traders assign to that outcome.
  • The $23,900 daily figure provides a recent activity measure for the $5,000 market, but the supplied data do not support a daily-volume comparison across all three.
  • No contract prices or settlement rules were provided, limiting comparisons of implied probabilities and the precise outcomes each market measures.
KalshiGoldInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictMarketCap
    Publisher
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    Source URL
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