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Georgia tops title odds as prediction platforms show a narrow gap

Rivo's Kalshi odds board, updated November 4, prices Georgia at 22 percent on Kalshi and 24 percent on Polymarket to win the 2027 College Football Playoff national championship, up 1 point in 24 hours. Kalshi prices 51 teams in the market.

Georgia leads the market for the 2027 College Football Playoff national championship, with a 22 percent probability on Kalshi and 24 percent on Polymarket, according to Rivo.

Championship market snapshot

Rivo’s Kalshi odds board, updated November 4, shows Georgia up 1 percentage point over 24 hours. The summary was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET.

The two platforms differ by 2 percentage points in their pricing of Georgia’s championship prospects. Both put the Bulldogs below a 25 percent probability despite their position at the top of the market.

A leader in a broad field

Kalshi prices 51 teams in the championship market, according to Rivo. Georgia’s leading position therefore sits within a broad set of listed contenders, rather than a market limited to a handful of teams.

The supplied figures do not include prices for the other teams or explain Georgia’s daily gain. They establish the leader and its quoted probabilities, but not the size of its advantage over the nearest challenger.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Leadership is not a majority probability: Georgia leads at 22 percent on Kalshi and 24 percent on Polymarket, leaving substantial uncertainty around the eventual champion.
  • Platform pricing differs: Polymarket’s Georgia probability is 2 percentage points higher than Kalshi’s.
  • Movement has limited context: The reported 1-percentage-point increase over 24 hours signals a higher implied probability, but the supplied material gives no catalyst or competing-team moves.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Rivo
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