Gemini leads year-end AI market as Claude holds second place
PredictionBubbles' tech board puts Claude second at 32.1 percent and ChatGPT at 5.2 percent in the same market. The tech category holds 59 open markets across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Gemini is priced at 60.9 percent in Kalshi’s market on which AI will be best on December 31, 2026, according to PredictionBubbles’ update published Nov 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
How the contenders compare
PredictionBubbles’ tech board places Claude second at 32.1 percent in the same market. ChatGPT is priced at 5.2 percent, putting it behind both Gemini and Claude.
The snapshot makes Gemini the leading contender among those named. It reflects market pricing for a future outcome, rather than an established assessment of which AI is best.
The broader technology board
According to PredictionBubbles, the tech category contains 59 open markets across Kalshi and Polymarket. That count spans both platforms; the year-end AI market cited here is on Kalshi.
What it means for prediction markets
- Gemini’s 60.9 percent pricing establishes it as the front-runner in the reported snapshot, with Claude at 32.1 percent and ChatGPT at 5.2 percent.
- The outcome date is December 31, 2026. The supplied summary does not specify the benchmark or settlement criteria used to determine “best AI.”
- The 59-market category count describes the breadth of technology coverage across Kalshi and Polymarket, not trading volume or liquidity in this particular contract.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
- Publisher
- https://predictionbubbles.com
- Source URL
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