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Kalshi Fed cut odds fall to 1.5% before 2027 deadline

PredictionBubbles' other-markets board, on the same Nov. 1 live read, ranks the Fed-cuts contract second among its movers at 1.5%, down 2.5 points over 24 hours, on…

A Kalshi contract on whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates before 2027 stood at 1.5%, according to PredictionBubbles’ Nov. 1, 2026 live reading. The probability was down 2.5 percentage points over 24 hours.

Fed contract ranks among market movers

PredictionBubbles placed the contract second among the movers on its other-markets board in that same Nov. 1 reading. The supplied headline put trading volume at $1.7M.

The update was published on Nov. 1, 2026, at 3:54 PM ET. Its reported price indicated a low market-implied probability of a rate cut before the contract’s 2027 deadline.

Limited context for the decline

The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the repricing. It contains no Federal Reserve commentary or economic releases that would explain the move.

The available material also does not include the contract’s detailed settlement rules or a price history beyond the 24-hour change. That limits what can be concluded about the decline beyond its size and the reported probability.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Low implied likelihood: The 1.5% reading placed a Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027 at the low-probability end of the market’s pricing.
  • Downward repricing: The 2.5-percentage-point fall over 24 hours showed a shift away from the cut outcome, without an identified explanation in the supplied reporting.
  • Volume is not a liquidity measure: The reported $1.7M in trading volume does not, by itself, establish current market depth or the ease of executing a trade.
PredictionMarketsKalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source 1
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.
  2. Source 2
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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