December Fed hike contract aligns at 70 cents across two venues
The December Fed decision market prices a 25 basis point increase as the leading outcome at 70 cents on both Kalshi and Polymarket, with the two venues showing no price gap on the contract.
A 25 basis point increase leads pricing in the December Fed decision market, with the contract at 70 cents on both Kalshi and Polymarket, according to WinDaily Sports.
The report, published Oct 31, 2026 · 8:45 PM ET, shows no price gap between the two venues for that outcome.
Matching prices, limited detail
The shared 70-cent price places a 25 basis point increase ahead of the other outcomes described in the summary. It represents market pricing, not a confirmed Fed decision.
The supplied summary does not include prices for alternative outcomes, trading volumes or earlier contract levels. It therefore offers a snapshot of agreement between the venues, rather than evidence of how expectations have changed.
What it means for prediction markets
- The leading outcome is consistent across venues: Both Kalshi and Polymarket price the 25 basis point increase contract at 70 cents.
- No quoted price divergence: The reported prices show no gap on this contract at the time of the report.
- Trend and depth remain unclear: Without earlier prices or volume data, the snapshot does not establish momentum or the strength of participation.
Sources & attribution
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