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Kalshi Ethereum odds split across November 6 price thresholds

DeFi Rate, observed at 3:52 PM ET on November 4, shows Kalshi's Ethereum price contract for the 5 PM ET close on November 6 with 2,400 dollars or above at 60 percent and 2,440 dollars or above at 43 percent. The contract traded 69,000 dollars in 24 hours.

According to DeFi Rate, Kalshi’s Ethereum price contract assigned a 60 percent probability to a price of 2,400 dollars or above at the 5 PM ET close on November 6.

The figures were observed at 3:52 PM ET on November 4. The supplied report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET.

Two thresholds, different probabilities

At the higher threshold of 2,440 dollars or above, the contract showed a 43 percent probability, according to DeFi Rate. That placed the lower threshold above even odds and the higher threshold below them.

The contract recorded 69,000 dollars in trading over 24 hours. The supplied figures do not break that activity down by price threshold or show how the probabilities changed before the observation.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 60 percent and 43 percent readings describe separate thresholds for the same November 6, 5 PM ET close—not competing outcomes, since a price at or above 2,440 dollars would also exceed 2,400 dollars.
  • These are snapshots from 3:52 PM ET on November 4, rather than confirmed probabilities at publication or settlement.
  • The 69,000 dollars in turnover provides an activity measure, but the available material does not establish liquidity at either threshold.
KalshiEthereumInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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