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Ethereum October price contract slides as Polymarket crypto odds diverge

The move was among the largest 24-hour changes on the Polymarket board in the Thursday to Friday window tracked by RG.org. The same movers table showed Hyperliquid hitting 100 dollars in 2026 up 43 points to 67 percent and Bitcoin dipping to 75,000 dollars in October up 15 points to 20 percent.

The Polymarket contract on Ethereum reaching 2,400 dollars in October fell 20 percentage points to 7 percent, according to RG.org. The decline contrasted with gains in two other cryptocurrency contracts in the same movers table.

Contrasting moves across crypto contracts

RG.org placed the Ethereum contract among the largest 24-hour changes on the Polymarket board during the Thursday-to-Friday window it tracked. The supplied summary was published Oct 31, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET.

The table also showed the probability of Hyperliquid reaching 100 dollars in 2026 rising 43 percentage points to 67 percent. That increase was larger than either of the other two changes cited.

Meanwhile, the contract on Bitcoin dipping to 75,000 dollars in October gained 15 percentage points to reach 20 percent, according to RG.org. The three moves therefore did not represent a uniform shift toward higher cryptocurrency prices: the Bitcoin contract concerned a decline.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Direction matters: Ethereum’s upward-price target became less likely in market pricing, while Bitcoin’s downward-price threshold became more likely.
  • Deadlines differ: The Ethereum and Bitcoin contracts concern October, whereas Hyperliquid’s target covers 2026. Their probabilities are not directly comparable forecasts.
  • The evidence is limited: The supplied summary identifies changes in probabilities but provides no trading-volume figures, resolution rules or explanation for the moves.
PolymarketBitcoinEthereumInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    RG.orgrg.org
    Publisher
    https://rg.org
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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