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Iotova election contract slips as Polymarket records $118,700 in daily trading

PolymarketTrader's biggest-movers snapshot shows Iliana Iotova's price for the next Bulgarian presidential election down 5.5 cents to 66.5 cents over 24 hours, on 118,700 dollars of volume and 201,500 dollars of liquidity.

Iliana Iotova’s contract to win the next Bulgarian presidential election fell to 66.5 cents on Polymarket, according to PolymarketTrader’s biggest-movers snapshot.

The update, published Oct 31, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, showed a 5.5-cent decline over 24 hours. Expressed as a market-implied probability, that represents a drop of 5.5 percentage points to 66.5%.

Trading activity and available context

PolymarketTrader reported $118,700 in trading volume over the same 24-hour period and $201,500 in liquidity for the market.

The supplied snapshot contains no explanation for the decline or information about competing candidates’ prices. It therefore documents a shift in market pricing, rather than establishing what prompted traders to reassess Iotova’s chances.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The contract’s 66.5-cent price still implies a probability above 50%, despite the 5.5-percentage-point decline.
  • The $118,700 volume figure measures trading activity over 24 hours; the $201,500 liquidity figure is a separate market measure.
  • Without competing candidates’ prices or further reporting, the snapshot does not establish whether the move reflects a broader reshuffling of the election market.
PolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
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