Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Ethereum downside contract draws $19.1 million as year-end odds reach 11.7%

World Monitor lists the Polymarket market on Ethereum dipping to 1,500 dollars by December 31, 2026 at 11.7 percent. The contract is among the most traded tracked markets with 19.1 million dollars in volume.

According to World Monitor, Polymarket traders assign an 11.7 percent probability to Ethereum dipping to $1,500 by December 31, 2026.

The snapshot was published on Nov 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. It places the specified downside outcome below an even chance as the year-end deadline approaches.

Trading activity and the price signal

World Monitor lists $19.1 million in trading volume for the contract, putting it among the most traded markets the outlet tracks.

That volume measures activity, rather than agreement that Ethereum will reach $1,500. The 11.7 percent market probability is the separate signal of how traders price the outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Threshold and deadline matter: The reported proposition concerns Ethereum dipping to $1,500 by December 31, 2026, rather than necessarily finishing that day at that price.
  • Activity is not conviction: The $19.1 million in volume establishes the contract’s prominence among World Monitor’s tracked markets, not the likelihood of a successful outcome.
  • The snapshot has limits: The supplied summary gives no earlier prices or detailed resolution rules, so it does not establish an odds trend or the precise settlement criteria.
PolymarketEthereumInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    World Monitor
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to World Monitor”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related