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Polymarket puts Ethereum’s $1,500 downside scenario at 10.2% through December

World Monitor reports its live November 4 reading, taken at 6:40 a.m. ET, prices Ethereum dipping to 1,500 dollars by December 31, 2026 at 10.2 percent on Polymarket, with 19.2 million dollars traded on the market.

According to World Monitor, Polymarket priced the chance of Ethereum dipping to $1,500 by December 31, 2026 at 10.2% in its November 4 live reading.

The snapshot was taken at 6:40 a.m. ET. World Monitor’s report was published on Nov 4, 2026 at 6:45 AM ET.

A downside threshold with a year-end deadline

The market had recorded $19.2 million in trading volume, according to World Monitor. That figure describes the amount traded on the market, rather than the probability assigned to the outcome.

The reported proposition concerns Ethereum reaching the downside threshold by December 31, 2026—not specifically its price at the end of that day. The supplied summary does not include the market’s detailed resolution rules or a previous probability reading for comparison.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A low-probability outcome: The 10.2% reading indicates that the market assigned a relatively small chance to the specified $1,500 scenario at the snapshot time.
  • Volume is separate from confidence: The $19.2 million traded provides activity context; it does not establish whether the probability is accurate.
  • No trend is established: Without an earlier reading, the supplied figures do not show whether expectations for an Ethereum decline were rising or falling.
PolymarketEthereumInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    World Monitor
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