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Cross-venue index measures pricing gaps across 2,006 validated market matches

No new race call or platform headline in the last 30 minutes changes the picture, so this edition leads with a fresh volume/metrics read, in a category different from…

A live index tracking 2,006 validated matches between Polymarket and Kalshi shows an average price difference of 2.9 cents, according to the supplied market snapshot.

A pricing comparison, not a new event signal

The update, published Nov 4, 2026 at 7:24 AM ET, focuses on cross-venue pricing. Its summary says no new race call or platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes changed the picture.

The index pairs markets identified as asking the same question on the two venues. Its reported average captures a difference in pricing across those matches; it does not establish that every matched pair has a 2.9-cent gap.

No source links or underlying reporting were supplied. The available material does not explain the validation method, how the average is calculated or how widely the individual gaps vary, limiting conclusions about the aggregate figure.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue comparisons matter: The snapshot shows that matched questions can carry different prices on Polymarket and Kalshi, rather than a single shared market assessment.
  • The average needs context: The 2.9-cent figure alone does not identify which contracts have the largest differences or establish whether those differences are actionable.
  • This is a metrics update: The supplied summary points to a fresh pricing read, not a new race call or platform development that would independently change an outcome assessment.
PredictionMarketsKalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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