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Ethereum downside contract draws $19.5 million as year-end deadline approaches

World Monitor's live board, read on November 7, ranks the Ethereum market second among its tracked crypto and economics contracts by total volume. The contract resolves on January 1, 2027 based on whether Ethereum trades at or below 1,500 dollars by year end.

A Polymarket contract on whether Ethereum trades at or below $1,500 by December 31, 2026 was priced at 10.9%, according to World Monitor. The market had recorded $19.5 million in trading volume.

Market ranks second on tracked board

World Monitor’s live board, read on November 7, ranked the Ethereum contract second by total volume among the crypto and economics contracts it tracks. That ranking applies to the board’s tracked markets, rather than necessarily to all Polymarket contracts.

The figures were reported on November 7, 2026, at 12:45 PM ET. They provide a snapshot of pricing and activity, not a final assessment of the outcome.

Price threshold and resolution date

The contract resolves on January 1, 2027, based on whether Ethereum trades at or below $1,500 by year end, according to World Monitor. The condition concerns reaching that threshold by the deadline, rather than simply finishing December 31 at that price.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 10.9% price puts the threshold event on the lower-probability side of the market’s current assessment; it does not rule it out.
  • The $19.5 million in volume and second-place ranking indicate substantial activity within World Monitor’s tracked crypto and economics contracts, but do not establish forecast accuracy.
  • The observation deadline is December 31, 2026, while resolution is scheduled for January 1, 2027—a distinction that matters when interpreting the contract’s timing.
PolymarketEthereumInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    World Monitor
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