Polymarket favors 90 to 114 Musk tweets as resolution approaches

Polymarket’s market on Elon Musk’s tweet count for November 5 to 7 puts the 90 to 114 bracket at 86 percent, according to the supplied market summary. Total trading volume stands at 733,300 dollars.

Pricing centers on two brackets

The 115 to 139 bracket is next at 15 percent. Higher ranges are priced near zero, leaving the two specified brackets as the main outcomes reflected in the supplied pricing.

Those two prices total 101 percent. The summary does not provide a pricing methodology or further detail explaining the difference from 100 percent.

Resolution timing

The market is scheduled to resolve around noon ET on November 7. The supplied update is dated Nov 7, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET, placing it around the scheduled resolution time rather than establishing a final result.

No final tweet count or confirmed settlement is included in the material. The quoted probabilities therefore describe market pricing, not a resolved outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

• The 86 percent price makes 90 to 114 the clear favorite in the supplied snapshot, with 115 to 139 remaining the next-priced bracket at 15 percent.
• Total volume of 733,300 dollars measures trading activity; the summary does not show how that volume is distributed across brackets.
• With the update coinciding with the scheduled resolution window, the distinction between quoted odds and confirmed settlement is especially important.