Polymarket House odds lean heavily Democratic as daily trading reaches $2.3 million
DeFi Rate reports the which party will win the House in 2026 market traded 2.3 million dollars in the last 24 hours, with the Democratic Party priced at 95 cents on Polymarket and the Republican Party at 6 cents. Kalshi priced Democratic House control at 93.9 cents in the same board snapshot.
Democratic Party contracts in Polymarket’s market on which party will win the House in 2026 stood at 95 cents, according to DeFi Rate. Republican Party contracts were priced at 6 cents.
The report, published Oct 31, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET, put trading in the market at $2.3 million over the last 24 hours.
House-control prices across platforms
Kalshi’s price for Democratic House control was 93.9 cents in the same board snapshot, according to DeFi Rate. That placed its Democratic contract 1.1 cents below Polymarket’s.
Both platforms therefore showed prices strongly favoring Democratic House control. The supplied snapshot does not include earlier prices, so it does not establish whether that positioning had strengthened or weakened.
What it means for prediction markets
- A strong favorite, not a settled outcome: The Democratic prices of 95 cents on Polymarket and 93.9 cents on Kalshi reflect market pricing rather than an election result.
- A measurable platform gap: The Democratic contracts differed by 1.1 cents in the snapshot; the provided material does not explain the difference.
- Volume is not direction: The $2.3 million traded over 24 hours measures activity in Polymarket’s House market, but does not by itself show which party attracted net buying.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Philadelphia 76ers become the first NBA team to name Kalshi its official prediction market partner, Covers reports
- Polymarket US processes more than 74 million trades in October, a 15 percent rise from September, CryptoNews reports
- Notre Dame priced at 97 percent against Navy at 3 percent on Kalshi with about 2.9 million dollars traded, SportsBettingDime reports
- JD Vance leads the 2028 Republican nominee market at 37 percent, ahead of Marco Rubio at 20 percent, DeFi Rate reports
- Worth More Than the Bookies Combined
- Polymarket share of prediction market trading falls to 27 percent as Kalshi trades nearly three times its volume, CryptoBriefing reports