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Polymarket House odds lean heavily Democratic as daily trading reaches $2.3 million

DeFi Rate reports the which party will win the House in 2026 market traded 2.3 million dollars in the last 24 hours, with the Democratic Party priced at 95 cents on Polymarket and the Republican Party at 6 cents. Kalshi priced Democratic House control at 93.9 cents in the same board snapshot.

Democratic Party contracts in Polymarket’s market on which party will win the House in 2026 stood at 95 cents, according to DeFi Rate. Republican Party contracts were priced at 6 cents.

The report, published Oct 31, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET, put trading in the market at $2.3 million over the last 24 hours.

House-control prices across platforms

Kalshi’s price for Democratic House control was 93.9 cents in the same board snapshot, according to DeFi Rate. That placed its Democratic contract 1.1 cents below Polymarket’s.

Both platforms therefore showed prices strongly favoring Democratic House control. The supplied snapshot does not include earlier prices, so it does not establish whether that positioning had strengthened or weakened.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A strong favorite, not a settled outcome: The Democratic prices of 95 cents on Polymarket and 93.9 cents on Kalshi reflect market pricing rather than an election result.
  • A measurable platform gap: The Democratic contracts differed by 1.1 cents in the snapshot; the provided material does not explain the difference.
  • Volume is not direction: The $2.3 million traded over 24 hours measures activity in Polymarket’s House market, but does not by itself show which party attracted net buying.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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