Dallas win the Pro Football NFC East Division priced at 46.0% on Kalshi, up 3.0 points, on $1.8M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Dallas division contract among its upward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero hits…
Dallas was priced at 46.0% to win the Pro Football NFC East Division on Kalshi, up 3.0 probability points, with $1.8M traded, according to PredictionBubbles’ movers listing. The contract appeared among the board’s upward-moving sports markets.
The figures accompanied an update published on Oct 25, 2026 · 4:09 AM ET. The supplied material does not identify a game result, team announcement or other specific catalyst for the repricing.
How the move is measured
According to PredictionBubbles, the board compares market-implied probabilities over 24 hours, using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi, and refreshes every 15 minutes. The supplied page records its venue-price snapshot as 25 Oct 2026, 07:35 UTC.
The rankings measure changes in probability points rather than relative percentages. Dallas’s 3.0-point increase therefore describes the change in its implied probability, not a 3.0% relative gain. Trading volume provides context but does not determine a contract’s position in the movers rankings.
What the listing establishes
The board covers 2,028 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify; its main table displays the top 150 of 483 markets that moved at least one probability point.
The Dallas listing establishes an upward shift in pricing, but the supplied material does not include competing NFC East contracts, order-book depth or an explanation for the move. The $1.8M traded figure alone does not establish how much liquidity was available at the quoted probability.
What it means for prediction markets
- Pricing strengthened without crossing 50%: Dallas’s implied probability reached 46.0% after a 3.0-point rise.
- Movement and volume measure different things: The probability change drives the movers ranking; $1.8M traded adds activity context rather than proving market depth.
- The catalyst remains unverified: The listing documents repricing, not an independently established change in Dallas’s division prospects.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027 priced at 51.5% on Polymarket, down 11.0 points, on $400 traded
- Republicans win the Senate race in Minnesota — Michele Tafoya priced at 19.0% on Kalshi, up 4.0 points, on $2.6M traded
- Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or priced at 91.7% on Polymarket, down 5.5 points, on $119K traded
- Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4% priced at 45.5% on Polymarket, up 7.0 points, on $870K traded
- Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026 priced at 54.0% on Polymarket, up 5.0 points, on $9K traded
- Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026 priced at 46.0% on Polymarket, down 4.5 points, on $275K traded