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Short-duration crypto contracts account for about 15 percent of prediction trading

DeFi Rate, observed at 4:45 PM ET on November 4, puts crypto contracts at 219 million dollars traded in 24 hours and says crypto makes up about 15 percent of all prediction market trading, most of it in 15 minute markets that settle 96 times a day. Kalshi crypto volume over the last 30 days is up 17 percent on the prior 30 days.

Crypto turnover reaches 219 million dollars

Crypto prediction contracts generated 219 million dollars in trading over 24 hours, according to DeFi Rate data observed at 4:45 PM ET on November 4, 2026.

DeFi Rate puts crypto’s share at about 15 percent of all prediction market trading. That measures trading activity, rather than the probability of any particular crypto outcome.

Frequent settlements dominate activity

Most of that crypto trading takes place in 15 minute markets, according to DeFi Rate. Those contracts settle 96 times a day, concentrating activity in markets with short resolution windows.

Separately, Kalshi’s crypto volume over the last 30 days rose 17 percent compared with the prior 30 days. That platform-specific comparison covers a longer period than the 24-hour turnover figure.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Crypto represents about 15 percent of overall prediction market trading, but most of its activity is concentrated in 15 minute contracts.
  • With settlements occurring 96 times a day, the turnover figure primarily reflects short-duration activity—not necessarily positioning on longer-term crypto outcomes.
  • Kalshi’s 17 percent increase indicates growth in its crypto trading volume across consecutive 30-day periods; it does not establish an equivalent growth rate for the broader market.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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