Kalshi traders price WTI’s $115.01 threshold at 28.4 percent
DOXA lists the WTI high-price contract among the most liquid prediction markets in its latest snapshot. The contract is listed on Kalshi and pays if WTI crude oil reaches 115.01 dollars or above by the end of next month.
A Kalshi contract tied to WTI crude oil reaching 115.01 dollars or above by the end of next month is priced at 28.4 percent, according to DOXA. Trading volume stands at 11.0 million dollars.
DOXA’s snapshot, published Nov 6, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET, places the contract among the most liquid prediction markets in its latest listing.
A threshold to reach, not a closing price
The contract pays if WTI crude oil reaches the specified threshold within the stated period, according to DOXA. The description concerns whether that level is reached, rather than whether oil finishes the period above it.
The supplied summary does not identify the reference price or provide detailed settlement rules. It also offers no current WTI price, price history or explanation for the contract’s market pricing.
What it means for prediction markets
- Pricing: The 28.4 percent quote puts the threshold-reaching outcome below an even chance in the reported snapshot.
- Trading activity: The 11.0 million dollars traded supports DOXA’s description of the contract as one of the most liquid markets in its listing, but does not establish a pricing trend.
- Resolution details: The stated trigger is WTI reaching 115.01 dollars or above by the end of next month. The summary alone does not establish the precise observation and settlement procedures.
Sources & attribution
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- DOXA
- Publisher
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