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Kalshi impeachment contracts climb as June deadline price reaches 56 cents

PredictionMarketPicks, in the same 5:00 PM EST snapshot on November 4, lists the contract asking whether the President will be impeached before June 1, 2027 among the top politics movers at 56 cents, up 15 cents in 24 hours, on 23,000 contracts traded and 14,000 in open interest. The companion contract for impeachment before May 1, 2027 rose 9 cents to 49 cents on 31,000 contracts.

The Kalshi contract asking whether the President will be impeached before June 1, 2027 reached 56 cents, a gain of 15 cents in 24 hours, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

Two deadlines, different moves

PredictionMarketPicks placed the June deadline contract among the top politics movers in its 5:00 PM EST snapshot on November 4. It recorded 23,000 contracts traded and open interest of 14,000.

The companion contract asking whether impeachment will occur before May 1, 2027 advanced 9 cents to 49 cents, with 31,000 contracts traded, according to the same snapshot.

The later-deadline contract therefore stood 7 cents above its companion and posted the larger price increase. The earlier-deadline contract, however, had the higher trading volume.

Limits of the snapshot

The figures appeared in an update published Nov 4, 2026 at 5:15 PM ET. The supplied summary identifies no political development behind the moves and provides no open-interest figure for the May deadline contract.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Both deadline contracts rose, but the June contract’s 15-cent increase exceeded the May contract’s 9-cent gain.
  • The 56-cent and 49-cent prices put the two contracts on opposite sides of 50 cents; those prices are market observations, not confirmation of an impeachment outcome.
  • Trading volume was higher for the May deadline despite its smaller price move. Without comparable open-interest data, the snapshot does not support a full comparison of outstanding positions.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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