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Israel-Iran ceasefire contract reaches 95.5 cents ahead of November 7 deadline

PolymarketTrader ranks the contract among the biggest movers on Polymarket over the last 24 hours, with 193,600 dollars traded in 24 hours and 81,400 dollars in liquidity. The market resolves on whether the ceasefire holds through November 7.

A Polymarket contract tied to the Israel and Iran ceasefire gained 8 points to reach 95.5 cents, according to PolymarketTrader. The market resolves on whether the ceasefire holds through November 7.

Price move and trading activity

PolymarketTrader placed the contract among Polymarket’s biggest movers over the last 24 hours. The update was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET.

The contract recorded 193,600 dollars in trading volume over 24 hours, with 81,400 dollars in liquidity, according to PolymarketTrader. Those figures describe trading activity and available liquidity separately; neither establishes whether the ceasefire will hold.

A near-term resolution test

The higher price indicates stronger market pricing for the ceasefire continuing through November 7. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the move or provide further details about the market’s resolution criteria.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing: The 8-point rise to 95.5 cents puts the contract near the upper end of its price range, but does not guarantee the outcome.
  • Participation: The reported 193,600 dollars in 24-hour volume and 81,400 dollars in liquidity provide context for the move, rather than evidence about the ceasefire itself.
  • Resolution: November 7 is the specified cutoff. The summary does not explain how any disputed interruption would be assessed.
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Sources & attribution

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