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Atlanta weather contract jumps to 99 percent amid $21,000 trading

The market on the highest temperature in Atlanta on November 5 rose 96.8 points to 99 percent on Polymarket over 24 hours. About 21,000 dollars traded in the weather market.

According to PredScope, a Polymarket contract tied to Atlanta’s highest temperature on November 5 climbed to 99 percent after gaining 96.8 points over 24 hours.

A sharp move in a weather market

The update, published Nov 5, 2026 · 3:15 PM ET, put trading in the weather market at about $21,000.

The reported change concerns the contract’s market-implied probability, not a change in Atlanta’s temperature. The summary does not identify the temperature outcome associated with the 99 percent reading.

Limited detail on the underlying outcome

PredScope’s summary provides no temperature observation or settlement criteria. It therefore documents a substantial repricing without establishing which temperature threshold or range traders were backing.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 96.8-point increase to 99 percent indicates a dramatic shift toward the contract’s outcome, but that outcome is not specified in the supplied reporting.
  • About $21,000 traded in the weather market; the summary does not provide order-book depth or the number of participants.
  • A 99 percent market reading is not confirmation of a settled result. The supplied material does not state that the contract has resolved.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredScope
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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