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Kalshi traders price Clarity Act passage by 2028 at 23 percent

DOXA ranked the Clarity Act contract among the most liquid prediction markets it tracks across venues. The contract asks whether the Clarity Act will become law before January 1, 2028.

A Kalshi contract on whether the Clarity Act will become law before January 1, 2028 is priced at 23 percent, according to DOXA. The market has recorded 10.3 million dollars in trading.

Trading activity and the deadline

DOXA ranked the contract among the most liquid prediction markets it tracks across venues. Its report was published on Nov 6, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET.

The contract’s question is specifically whether the Clarity Act becomes law before January 1, 2028. It is not a market on eventual enactment without a deadline.

The supplied summary does not identify legislative developments behind the price or provide earlier prices for comparison. It therefore offers a snapshot of pricing and activity, rather than evidence of a shift in expectations.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 23 percent price places enactment before the deadline on the less-likely side of the market’s pricing.
  • The 10.3 million dollars traded and DOXA’s liquidity ranking highlight the contract’s trading activity, not certainty about its outcome.
  • The January 1, 2028 cutoff is central: the question concerns both enactment and its timing.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    DOXA
    Publisher
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