Kalshi prices extended Sonora cattle import suspension at 11 percent
The contract appears among the newest markets on PredictionBubbles' board, listed about 20 hours ago with 100,000 dollars traded. It sits in the politics category and resolves in about 144 days.
A Kalshi contract on whether Sonora cattle imports will be suspended for at least 90 days is priced at 11 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. The market concerns the duration of a potential suspension, rather than simply whether imports are interrupted.
A newly listed contract
PredictionBubbles places the contract among the newest markets on its board. It was listed about 20 hours ago and has recorded 100,000 dollars traded, according to the summary published Nov 7, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET.
The board classifies the contract in its politics category. Resolution is expected in about 144 days, a separate timeline from the minimum 90-day suspension specified in the contract.
The supplied summary does not include the full settlement rules or further reporting on the underlying import situation. The 11 percent price therefore offers a market snapshot, without enough information to assess the reasoning behind it.
What it means for prediction markets
- Duration matters: The stated condition is a suspension lasting at least 90 days; a shorter interruption would not, by itself, meet that threshold.
- Trading activity is not directional evidence: The reported 100,000 dollars traded shows activity but does not establish how the price has changed.
- Settlement details remain a gap: With resolution about 144 days away, the full rules would be needed to determine precisely how the outcome will be assessed.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
- Publisher
- https://predictionbubbles.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PredictionBubbles”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Florida State is priced at 52 cents on Kalshi and 76 cents on Polymarket against Boston College, with 1.1 million dollars traded in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports
- Contract on a US strike on Cuba by December 31 is priced at 10.5 percent on Polymarket, with 7.7 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Contract on Mojtaba Khamenei being seen in public by December 31 is priced at 12.5 percent on Polymarket, with 7.6 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Contract on Variational FDV above 500 million dollars one day after launch is priced at 86.5 percent on Polymarket, with 3.9 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Cleveland wins is priced at 36 cents on Kalshi, down 7 cents, on 57K contracts traded in 24 hours
- Oklahoma St. is priced at 98 cents on Kalshi against Kansas St., on $2.3M traded in 24 hours