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Lopez Aliaga Lima contract drops sharply as settlement remains pending

PredictionBubbles lists the contract among the biggest fallers of the last 24 hours, with 226,000 dollars traded. The market is listed as awaiting settlement.

A Polymarket contract on Rafael Lopez Aliaga winning the next Lima mayoral election fell 48.1 percentage points to 9.8 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.

Sharp decline in the past day

PredictionBubbles placed the contract among the biggest fallers over the last 24 hours. Its update was published on Nov 7, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.

The report listed $226,000 traded in the contract. The summary did not specify whether that figure represented trading during the past 24 hours or a longer period.

Settlement still pending

The market was listed as awaiting settlement. The supplied summary gave no explanation for the price decline and did not identify an election result or a settlement decision.

That leaves a distinction between the reported trading level and the contract’s final resolution: the 9.8 percent figure describes the market price, not a confirmed settlement outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 48.1-percentage-point decline marks a substantial repricing of the contract, but the supplied reporting does not establish its cause.
  • The awaiting-settlement status is central to interpreting the move; the report does not confirm how the contract will resolve.
  • The $226,000 traded provides activity context, but its unspecified timeframe limits comparisons with the 24-hour price change.
PolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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