Polymarket odds reach 88 percent for unchanged Bank of Mexico rates
PredictionBubbles lists the contract among the notable finance movers on its live board, with 166,000 dollars traded. The market resolves on the Bank of Mexico's November 2026 interest rate decision.
A Polymarket contract on the Bank of Mexico leaving interest rates unchanged after its November 2026 meeting rose 14.5 points to 88 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.
The update, published Nov 5, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET, puts the unchanged-rate outcome well above an even chance in the market’s pricing.
Trading activity and resolution
PredictionBubbles included the contract among the notable finance movers on its live board, with 166,000 dollars traded.
The market resolves on the Bank of Mexico’s November 2026 interest rate decision. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the price move or specify the period over which the 14.5-point increase occurred.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 88 percent price reflects a strong market lean toward unchanged rates, not confirmation of the central bank’s decision.
- The 14.5-point rise signals a substantial repricing, but the available reporting does not explain what drove it.
- The 166,000 dollars traded provides an activity measure; the summary does not provide order-book depth or trader concentration.
Sources & attribution
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