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Kalshi traders put near certainty on tech layoffs exceeding 2025

The Kalshi contract asking whether 2026 will see more tech layoffs than 2025 trades at 98.1 percent, up 4.1 points. It is the most-traded market on the other-markets board with 31.5 million dollars in total volume.

A Kalshi contract on whether tech layoffs in 2026 will exceed those in 2025 is trading at 98.1 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.

The price is up 4.1 points in the update published Nov 5, 2026, at 4:15 AM ET. The supplied summary does not specify the period over which that increase occurred.

Volume leads the other-markets board

Total trading volume for the contract stands at 31.5 million dollars. According to PredictionBubbles, that makes it the most-traded market on Kalshi’s other-markets board.

The figures show strong pricing in favor of more tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025, but the summary provides no layoff totals or contract settlement criteria. The market price alone does not establish the eventual outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing: At 98.1 percent, the contract reflects a near-certain market expectation that 2026 tech layoffs will exceed 2025’s.
  • Activity: The 31.5 million dollars in total volume places it first on the other-markets board, not necessarily across all Kalshi markets.
  • Information limits: Without layoff counts or settlement criteria, the supplied figures support an assessment of market positioning—not an independent assessment of the underlying outcome.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
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    https://predictionbubbles.com
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