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Kalshi’s year-end Bitcoin contract gains as higher thresholds draw lower prices

PredictionMarketPicks, in its 5:00 PM EST snapshot on November 4, ranks the contract on Bitcoin being above 99,999.99 dollars by December 31, 2026 as the seventh most-traded crypto contract on Kalshi at 16 cents, up 2 cents in 24 hours, on 9,643 contracts traded and 427,000 in open interest. The above 109,999.99 dollars contract is priced at 6 cents and the above 119,999.99 dollars contract at 3 cents.

According to PredictionMarketPicks, Kalshi’s contract on Bitcoin being above 99,999.99 dollars by December 31, 2026 traded at 16 cents in its 5:00 PM EST snapshot on November 4. The price increased 2 cents over 24 hours.

Trading activity and price levels

The contract ranked seventh among Kalshi’s most-traded crypto contracts in the snapshot. PredictionMarketPicks recorded 9,643 contracts traded and open interest of 427,000.

Higher Bitcoin thresholds carried lower prices. The contract for Bitcoin above 109,999.99 dollars was priced at 6 cents, while the above 119,999.99 dollars contract stood at 3 cents.

The figures come from the November 4 snapshot cited in the item published Nov 4, 2026 at 5:45 PM ET. They describe pricing and activity at that point, rather than the eventual outcome of the December 31, 2026 contract.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 2-cent rise shows a higher market price for the above 99,999.99 dollars outcome over the reported 24-hour period.
  • Prices of 16 cents, 6 cents and 3 cents show progressively lower pricing across the three ascending Bitcoin thresholds.
  • The seventh-place trading rank, 9,643 contracts traded and 427,000 in open interest provide activity context, but do not establish whether the threshold will be met.
KalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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