AI mathematics milestone contract drops to 12 percent on Polymarket
PredictionBubbles' tech board lists the contract as the biggest tech mover of the last 24 hours, with 259,000 dollars traded on Polymarket.
A Polymarket contract on whether an AI lab will announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026 fell 8 points to 12 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.
The update, published Nov 7, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET, puts a lower market price on an announcement arriving before the contract’s deadline.
Largest move on the tech board
PredictionBubbles’ tech board ranked the contract as the biggest tech mover over the last 24 hours. The summary lists $259,000 traded on Polymarket.
The supplied material does not identify a catalyst for the decline or provide the contract’s detailed resolution criteria. It therefore supports a report on the market move, rather than a conclusion about progress toward a mathematical solution.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 8-point decline to 12 percent reflects a downward repricing of the specified announcement occurring by December 31, 2026.
- The $259,000 traded provides activity context, but the summary does not specify the period covered by that figure.
- The announcement requirement matters: without detailed resolution criteria, readers cannot establish from this summary what evidence would qualify.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
- Publisher
- https://predictionbubbles.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PredictionBubbles”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Nottingham Forest is priced at 97.9 cents on Polymarket against Manchester City, leading the top-50 board at 6.3 million dollars in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports
- Florida State is priced at 52 cents on Kalshi and 76 cents on Polymarket against Boston College, with 1.1 million dollars traded in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports
- Contract on a US strike on Cuba by December 31 is priced at 10.5 percent on Polymarket, with 7.7 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Contract on Mojtaba Khamenei being seen in public by December 31 is priced at 12.5 percent on Polymarket, with 7.6 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Contract on Variational FDV above 500 million dollars one day after launch is priced at 86.5 percent on Polymarket, with 3.9 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Texas is priced at 52 cents against Missouri on both Kalshi and Polymarket, leading the top-50 board at 4.0 million dollars in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports