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Colombia strike contract draws $2.3 million as Polymarket price reaches 15.5 percent

World Monitor lists the Colombia strike contract among the 15 most-traded markets it tracks across Polymarket and Kalshi. The contract is listed on Polymarket and closes on January 1, 2027.

A Polymarket contract on a US strike on Colombia by December 31 is priced at 15.5 percent, with $2.3 million traded, according to World Monitor.

The figures appear in material published on Nov 6, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET. They provide a snapshot of pricing and trading activity, rather than evidence that a strike will occur.

Ranking and contract timing

World Monitor places the Colombia strike contract among the 15 most-traded markets it tracks across Polymarket and Kalshi. The contract itself is listed on Polymarket; the supplied summary does not specify its exact position within that group.

The contract closes on January 1, 2027, according to World Monitor. That closing date is distinct from the December 31 deadline for the event described in the contract.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 15.5 percent price indicates that the market assigns a lower likelihood to a qualifying strike occurring than to it not occurring. It is a market assessment, not confirmation of an impending event.
  • The $2.3 million traded and top-15 placement establish the contract’s prominence within World Monitor’s tracked markets, but the summary provides no price history or trading-volume trend.
  • The supplied material does not include resolution criteria. Readers therefore cannot determine from this summary alone which actions would qualify as a US strike on Colombia.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    World Monitor
    Publisher
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