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Kalshi pricing shifts sharply toward OpenAI Astra 6.1 release by year-end

The Kalshi contract on OpenAI releasing Astra 6.1 before December 31, 2026 is priced at 93 percent, up 88 points. It has traded 44,300 dollars, according to PredictMarketCap.

The Kalshi contract tracking whether OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before December 31, 2026 is priced at 93 percent, according to PredictMarketCap.

That price is up 88 points. The figures were reported on Nov 6, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET.

Price move and trading activity

The contract has recorded 44,300 dollars in trading, according to PredictMarketCap. The reported volume accompanies a substantial shift toward the release occurring before the specified deadline.

The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the move or provide the period over which the 88-point increase occurred. It also contains no confirmation from OpenAI about a release date.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 93 percent price reflects strong market expectations for a release before December 31, 2026, rather than confirmation that it will happen.
  • The 88-point increase is significant, but the missing comparison period limits interpretation of how quickly expectations changed.
  • The 44,300 dollars traded measures reported activity; the summary provides no order-book or liquidity details.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictMarketCap
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